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使用SAS软件对具有急性神经毒性的农药进行累积膳食暴露评估。

Cumulative dietary exposure assessment of pesticides that have acute effects on the nervous system using SAS software.

作者信息

Dujardin Bruno, Bocca Valentina

出版信息

EFSA J. 2019 Sep 17;17(9):e05764. doi: 10.2903/j.efsa.2019.5764. eCollection 2019 Sep.

Abstract

Retrospective dietary exposure assessments were conducted for two groups of pesticides that have acute effects on the nervous system: brain and/or erythrocyte acetylcholinesterase inhibition, and functional alterations of the motor division. The pesticides considered in this assessment were identified and characterised in the scientific report on the establishment of cumulative assessment groups of pesticides for their effects on the nervous system. The exposure assessments used monitoring data collected by Member States under their official pesticide monitoring programmes in 2014, 2015 and 2016 and individual food consumption data from 10 populations of consumers from different countries and from different age groups. Exposure estimates were obtained for each group of pesticides by means of a 2-dimensional Monte Carlo simulation, which was implemented in SAS software. Results were validated against exposure estimates obtained by the Dutch National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM) using the Monte Carlo Risk Assessment (MCRA) software. Both tools produced nearly identical results and minor differences were mainly attributed to the random effect of probabilistic modelling. The exposure estimates obtained in this report are used in the final scientific report on the cumulative dietary risk characterisation of pesticides that have acute effects on the nervous system. The latter combines the hazard assessment and exposure assessment into a consolidated risk characterisation including all related uncertainties.

摘要

对两组对神经系统有急性影响的农药进行了回顾性膳食暴露评估

脑和/或红细胞乙酰胆碱酯酶抑制,以及运动神经分支的功能改变。本评估中考虑的农药已在关于建立农药累积评估组对神经系统影响的科学报告中得到识别和描述。暴露评估使用了成员国在2014年、2015年和2016年官方农药监测计划下收集的监测数据,以及来自不同国家和不同年龄组的10组消费者的个人食品消费数据。通过二维蒙特卡洛模拟获得每组农药的暴露估计值,该模拟在SAS软件中实施。结果与荷兰国家公共卫生与环境研究所(RIVM)使用蒙特卡洛风险评估(MCRA)软件获得的暴露估计值进行了验证。两种工具产生的结果几乎相同,细微差异主要归因于概率建模的随机效应。本报告中获得的暴露估计值用于关于对神经系统有急性影响的农药累积膳食风险特征的最终科学报告。后者将危害评估和暴露评估结合到一个综合风险特征中,包括所有相关的不确定性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/05c7/7009219/702065f008bb/EFS2-17-e05764-g001.jpg

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