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对甲状腺有慢性影响的农药的累积膳食风险特征描述

Cumulative dietary risk characterisation of pesticides that have chronic effects on the thyroid.

作者信息

Craig Peter S, Dujardin Bruno, Hart Andy, Hernandez-Jerez Antonio F, Hougaard Bennekou Susanne, Kneuer Carsten, Ossendorp Bernadette, Pedersen Ragnor, Wolterink Gerrit, Mohimont Luc

出版信息

EFSA J. 2020 Apr 29;18(4):e06088. doi: 10.2903/j.efsa.2020.6088. eCollection 2020 Apr.

Abstract

A retrospective chronic cumulative risk assessment of dietary exposure to pesticide residues, supported by an uncertainty analysis based on expert knowledge elicitation, was conducted for two effects on the thyroid, hypothyroidism and parafollicular cell (C-cell) hypertrophy, hyperplasia and neoplasia. The pesticides considered in this assessment were identified and characterised in the scientific report on the establishment of cumulative assessment groups of pesticides for their effects on the thyroid. Cumulative exposure assessments were conducted through probabilistic modelling by EFSA and the Dutch National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM) using two different software tools and reported separately. These exposure assessments used monitoring data collected by Member States under their official pesticide monitoring programmes in 2014, 2015 and 2016 and individual consumption data from 10 populations of consumers from different countries and different age groups. This report completes the characterisation of cumulative risk, taking account of the available data and the uncertainties involved. For each of the 10 populations, it is concluded with varying degrees of certainty that cumulative exposure to pesticides that have the chronic effects on the thyroid mentioned above does not exceed the threshold for regulatory consideration established by risk managers.

摘要

对饮食中农药残留的慢性累积风险进行了回顾性评估,该评估得到了基于专家知识获取的不确定性分析的支持,评估针对甲状腺的两种效应,即甲状腺功能减退以及滤泡旁细胞(C细胞)肥大、增生和肿瘤形成。本评估中考虑的农药在关于建立农药累积评估组对甲状腺影响的科学报告中已得到识别和描述。欧洲食品安全局(EFSA)和荷兰国家公共卫生与环境研究所(RIVM)通过概率模型,使用两种不同的软件工具分别进行了累积暴露评估。这些暴露评估使用了成员国在2014年、2015年和2016年官方农药监测计划下收集的监测数据,以及来自不同国家和不同年龄组的10组消费者的个人消费数据。本报告考虑了现有数据和相关不确定性,完成了累积风险的特征描述。对于这10组人群中的每一组,得出了不同程度的确定性结论,即对上述甲状腺有慢性影响的农药的累积暴露不超过风险管理者设定的监管考虑阈值。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c969/7448013/8b859fa76805/EFS2-18-e06088-g001.jpg

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