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对新冠疫情的应对:理解政府封锁政策的影响。

Response to the COVID-19: Understanding implications of government lockdown policies.

作者信息

Kumar Anand, Priya Bhawna, Srivastava Samir K

机构信息

Operations Management Area, Indian Institute of Management Lucknow, Prabandh Nagar, Off Sitapur Road, Lucknow 226 013, Uttar Pradesh, India.

出版信息

J Policy Model. 2021 Jan-Feb;43(1):76-94. doi: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2020.09.001. Epub 2020 Oct 27.

DOI:10.1016/j.jpolmod.2020.09.001
PMID:33132465
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7588319/
Abstract

The rising number of COVID-19 cases and economic implications of lockdown measures indicate the tricky balancing act policy makers face as they implement the subsequent phases of 'unlock'. We develop a model to examine how lockdown and social distancing measures have influenced the behavioral conduct of people. The current situation highlights that policy makers need to focus on bringing awareness and social restraint among people rather than going for stringent lockdown measures. We believe this work will help the policy makers gain insights into the troubled COVID-19 times ahead, and based on the estimates, they can frame policies to navigate these wild waves in the best possible way.

摘要

新冠病毒疾病(COVID-19)病例数的不断上升以及封锁措施对经济的影响,表明政策制定者在实施后续“解封”阶段时面临着棘手的平衡难题。我们构建了一个模型,以研究封锁和社交距离措施如何影响人们的行为举止。当前形势凸显出,政策制定者需要专注于提高人们的意识并促使其自我约束,而非采取严格的封锁措施。我们相信这项工作将有助于政策制定者深入了解未来充满挑战的新冠病毒疾病时期,并且基于这些评估,他们能够制定政策,以尽可能最佳的方式应对这些汹涌浪潮。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/af4c/7588319/a8f07e1de5f8/gr5_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/af4c/7588319/d94a46a6256e/gr1_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/af4c/7588319/dca8610424a7/gr2_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/af4c/7588319/7401b88f796a/gr3_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/af4c/7588319/040b55c19010/gr4_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/af4c/7588319/a8f07e1de5f8/gr5_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/af4c/7588319/d94a46a6256e/gr1_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/af4c/7588319/dca8610424a7/gr2_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/af4c/7588319/7401b88f796a/gr3_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/af4c/7588319/040b55c19010/gr4_lrg.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/af4c/7588319/a8f07e1de5f8/gr5_lrg.jpg

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