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新发传染病与城市特征空间关系的探索性研究:以韩国为例

Exploratory study on the spatial relationship between emerging infectious diseases and urban characteristics: Cases from Korea.

作者信息

Kim Donghyun

机构信息

Department of Urban Planning and Engineering, Pusan National University, 2, Busandaehak-ro 63beon-gil, Geumjeong-Gu, Busan, 46241, Republic of Korea.

出版信息

Sustain Cities Soc. 2021 Mar;66:102672. doi: 10.1016/j.scs.2020.102672. Epub 2020 Dec 28.

Abstract

In the modern global context of interconnected populations, the recent emergence of infectious diseases involves complex interactions. The purpose of this study is to investigate the spatial correlations between urban characteristics, taking into account the socio-ecological aspects, and the emergence of infectious diseases. Using exploratory spatial data analysis and spatial regression between the infectious disease emergence data and 14 urban characteristics, we analyzed 225 spatial units in South Korea, where there was a re-emergence of measles and a 2015 outbreak of Middle East Respiratory Syndrome. As results of exploratory spatial data analysis, the emerging infectious diseases had spatial dependence and showed spatial clusters. Spatial regression models showed that urban characteristic factors had different effects according to the type of infectious disease. Common factors were characteristics related to low socioeconomic status in water or food-borne diseases and manageable infectious diseases. Intermittent infections disease epidemics are related to high-quality residential environments and the response capacity of the local government. New infectious diseases are different than other infectious diseases, which are related to the ecological environment. This study suggests spatial policies for preventing infectious diseases considering the spatial relationships between urban characteristics and infectious diseases as well as the management of public health.

摘要

在当今全球人口相互关联的背景下,近期出现的传染病涉及复杂的相互作用。本研究的目的是在考虑社会生态因素的情况下,调查城市特征与传染病出现之间的空间相关性。利用探索性空间数据分析以及传染病出现数据与14个城市特征之间的空间回归,我们分析了韩国的225个空间单元,这些地方出现了麻疹疫情复发以及2015年中东呼吸综合征疫情。作为探索性空间数据分析的结果,新发传染病具有空间依赖性并呈现出空间聚集性。空间回归模型表明,城市特征因素对不同类型的传染病有不同影响。常见因素是与水传或食源性疾病以及可控制传染病中社会经济地位较低相关的特征。间歇性感染疾病的流行与高质量居住环境和地方政府的应对能力有关。新型传染病与其他传染病不同,它与生态环境有关。本研究提出了预防传染病的空间政策,该政策考虑了城市特征与传染病之间的空间关系以及公共卫生管理。

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