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2020 年 3 月至 4 月期间,伦敦西北部 COVID-19 的流行病学及住院患者临床结局的横断面观察性研究。

Cross-sectional observational study of epidemiology of COVID-19 and clinical outcomes of hospitalised patients in North West London during March and April 2020.

机构信息

Departments of Microbiology, Infectious Diseases, Emergency, Research and Development and Corporate Affairs, London North West University Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK

Field Epidemiology and Health Protection Units, Public Health England, London, UK.

出版信息

BMJ Open. 2021 Feb 18;11(2):e044384. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-044384.

DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2020-044384
PMID:33602712
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC7896375/
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this paper is to describe evolution, epidemiology and clinical outcomes of COVID-19 in subjects tested at or admitted to hospitals in North West London.

DESIGN

Observational cohort study.

SETTING

London North West Healthcare NHS Trust (LNWH).

PARTICIPANTS

Patients tested and/or admitted for COVID-19 at LNWH during March and April 2020 MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Descriptive and analytical epidemiology of demographic and clinical outcomes (intensive care unit (ICU) admission, mechanical ventilation and mortality) of those who tested positive for COVID-19.

RESULTS

The outbreak began in the first week of March 2020 and reached a peak by the end of March and first week of April. In the study period, 6183 tests were performed in on 4981 people. Of the 2086 laboratory confirmed COVID-19 cases, 1901 were admitted to hospital. Older age group, men and those of black or Asian minority ethnic (BAME) group were predominantly affected (p<0.05). These groups also had more severe infection resulting in ICU admission and need for mechanical ventilation (p<0.05). However, in a multivariate analysis, only increasing age was independently associated with increased risk of death (p<0.05). Mortality rate was 26.9% in hospitalised patients.

CONCLUSION

The findings confirm that men, BAME and older population were most commonly and severely affected groups. Only older age was independently associated with mortality.

摘要

目的

本文旨在描述在伦敦西北伦敦的医院接受检测或住院的患者中 COVID-19 的演变、流行病学和临床结局。

设计

观察性队列研究。

地点

伦敦西北医疗保健国民保健制度信托基金(LNWH)。

参与者

2020 年 3 月和 4 月期间在 LNWH 接受 COVID-19 检测和/或住院的患者。

主要观察指标

对 COVID-19 检测呈阳性的患者的人口统计学和临床结局(重症监护病房(ICU)入院、机械通气和死亡率)的描述性和分析流行病学。

结果

疫情于 2020 年 3 月第一周开始,3 月底和 4 月初达到高峰。在研究期间,共进行了 6183 次检测,涉及 4981 人。在 2086 例实验室确诊的 COVID-19 病例中,有 1901 例住院。年龄较大、男性和少数族裔(BAME)黑人或亚洲人(p<0.05)的患者受到的影响更为严重。这些群体的感染也更为严重,导致 ICU 入院和需要机械通气(p<0.05)。然而,在多变量分析中,只有年龄增长与死亡风险增加独立相关(p<0.05)。住院患者的死亡率为 26.9%。

结论

这些发现证实,男性、BAME 和老年人群是最常见和受影响最严重的群体。只有年龄增长与死亡率独立相关。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1104/7896375/de10b987fa6e/bmjopen-2020-044384f04.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1104/7896375/4014cc3b2788/bmjopen-2020-044384f01.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1104/7896375/35f2855ad017/bmjopen-2020-044384f02.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1104/7896375/ee0824fc1155/bmjopen-2020-044384f03.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1104/7896375/de10b987fa6e/bmjopen-2020-044384f04.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1104/7896375/4014cc3b2788/bmjopen-2020-044384f01.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1104/7896375/35f2855ad017/bmjopen-2020-044384f02.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1104/7896375/ee0824fc1155/bmjopen-2020-044384f03.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/1104/7896375/de10b987fa6e/bmjopen-2020-044384f04.jpg

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