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四个未来的故事:旅游学术界与新冠疫情。

A tale of four futures: Tourism academia and COVID-19.

作者信息

Wassler Philipp, Fan Daisy X F

机构信息

Department of People and Organisations, Bournemouth University Business School, Fern Barrow, Poole BH12 5BB, United Kingdom.

出版信息

Tour Manag Perspect. 2021 Apr;38:100818. doi: 10.1016/j.tmp.2021.100818. Epub 2021 May 1.

Abstract

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic is an unprecedented "super-shock" for the tourism industry. How tourism academia relates to this unpredictable context is anyhow not yet evident. This study uses a qualitative scenario method to propose four possible futures for tourism academia considering the pandemic and to draw attention to key factors of these future developments. Nine interviews were held with tourism (full/ordinary) professors across Europe, America, Asia, and the Pacific Region to gain expert insights. As a result, four scenarios are proposed for tourism education, industry collaboration, research, and discipline identity. ("new sustainability" or "revenge-tourism") for tourism academia if the pandemic impact is short-term, and ("bridging the gap" or "decline") for tourism academia if the COVID-19 impact is long-lasting. Key factors for the way forward are finally discussed and contributions of our findings are highlighted.

摘要

持续的新冠疫情对旅游业来说是一场前所未有的“超级冲击”。然而,旅游学术界如何应对这一不可预测的情况尚不明朗。本研究采用定性情景分析法,针对疫情提出了旅游学术界未来可能出现的四种情景,并提请关注这些未来发展的关键因素。研究人员与欧洲、美洲、亚洲及太平洋地区的旅游(正/副教授)教授进行了九次访谈,以获取专家见解。结果,针对旅游教育、行业合作、研究和学科认同提出了四种情景。如果疫情影响是短期的,旅游学术界将出现两种情景(“新可持续性”或“报复性旅游”);如果新冠疫情影响是长期的,旅游学术界则会出现另外两种情景(“弥合差距”或“衰落”)。最后讨论了未来发展方向的关键因素,并强调了研究结果的贡献。

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