Cheng Jingyi, Ren Caiyue, Liu Guangyu, Shui Ruohong, Zhang Yingjian, Li Junjie, Shao Zhimin
Department of Nuclear Medicine, Fudan University Shanghai Cancer Center, Department of Oncology, Shanghai Medical College, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China.
Department of Nuclear Medicine, Shanghai Proton and Heavy Ion Center, Fudan University Cancer Hospital, Shanghai 201321, China.
Cancers (Basel). 2022 Feb 14;14(4):950. doi: 10.3390/cancers14040950.
PURPOSE OF THE REPORT: Accurate clinical axillary evaluation plays an important role in the diagnosis and treatment planning for early-stage breast cancer (BC). This study aimed to develop a scalable, non-invasive and robust machine learning model for predicting of the pathological node status using dedicated-PET integrating the clinical characteristics in early-stage BC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 420 BC patients confirmed by postoperative pathology were retrospectively analyzed. 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (F-FDG) Mammi-PET, ultrasound, physical examination, Lymph-PET, and clinical characteristics were analyzed. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis were used in developing prediction models. The characteristic curve (ROC) of the area under receiver-operator (AUC) and DeLong test were used to evaluate and compare the performance of the models. The clinical utility of the models was determined via decision curve analysis (DCA). Then, a nomogram was developed based on the model with the best predictive efficiency and clinical utility and was validated using the calibration plots. RESULTS: A total of 290 patients were enrolled in this study. The AUC of the integrated model diagnosed performance was 0.94 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.91-0.97) in the training set ( = 203) and 0.93 (95% CI, 0.88-0.99) in the validation set ( = 87) (both < 0.05). In clinical N0 subgroup, the negative predictive value reached 96.88%, and in clinical N1 subgroup, the positive predictive value reached 92.73%. CONCLUSIONS: The use of a machine learning integrated model can greatly improve the true positive and true negative rate of identifying clinical axillary lymph node status in early-stage BC.
报告目的:准确的临床腋窝评估在早期乳腺癌(BC)的诊断和治疗规划中起着重要作用。本研究旨在开发一种可扩展、非侵入性且稳健的机器学习模型,用于利用整合了早期BC临床特征的专用PET预测病理淋巴结状态。 材料与方法:回顾性分析了420例经术后病理确诊的BC患者。分析了18F-氟脱氧葡萄糖(F-FDG)乳腺PET、超声、体格检查、淋巴PET及临床特征。采用最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)回归分析建立预测模型。使用受试者操作特征曲线(ROC)下面积(AUC)和DeLong检验来评估和比较模型的性能。通过决策曲线分析(DCA)确定模型的临床实用性。然后,基于预测效率和临床实用性最佳的模型绘制列线图,并使用校准图进行验证。 结果:本研究共纳入290例患者。训练集(n = 203)中整合模型诊断性能的AUC为0.94(95%置信区间(CI),0.91 - 0.97),验证集(n = 87)中为0.93(95%CI,0.88 - 0.99)(均P < 0.05)。在临床N0亚组中,阴性预测值达到96.88%,在临床N1亚组中,阳性预测值达到92.73%。 结论:使用机器学习整合模型可大幅提高早期BC临床腋窝淋巴结状态识别的真阳性和真阴性率。
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