Department of Biology, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, 16802, USA.
Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, 16802, USA.
Sci Rep. 2022 May 21;12(1):8586. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-12499-5.
Returning university students represent large-scale, transient demographic shifts and a potential source of transmission to adjacent communities during the COVID-19 pandemic. In this prospective longitudinal cohort study, we tested for IgG antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 in a non-random cohort of residents living in Centre County prior to the Fall 2020 term at the Pennsylvania State University and following the conclusion of the Fall 2020 term. We also report the seroprevalence in a non-random cohort of students collected at the end of the Fall 2020 term. Of 1313 community participants, 42 (3.2%) were positive for SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies at their first visit between 07 August and 02 October 2020. Of 684 student participants who returned to campus for fall instruction, 208 (30.4%) were positive for SARS-CoV-2 antibodies between 26 October and 21 December. 96 (7.3%) community participants returned a positive IgG antibody result by 19 February. Only contact with known SARS-CoV-2-positive individuals and attendance at small gatherings (20-50 individuals) were significant predictors of detecting IgG antibodies among returning students (aOR, 95% CI 3.1, 2.07-4.64; 1.52, 1.03-2.24; respectively). Despite high seroprevalence observed within the student population, seroprevalence in a longitudinal cohort of community residents was low and stable from before student arrival for the Fall 2020 term to after student departure. The study implies that heterogeneity in SARS-CoV-2 transmission can occur in geographically coincident populations.
返回的大学生代表了大规模的、短暂的人口迁移,并且在 COVID-19 大流行期间可能成为相邻社区的传播源。在这项前瞻性纵向队列研究中,我们在宾夕法尼亚州立大学秋季 2020 学期之前和之后,对居住在中心县的居民进行了非随机队列的 SARS-CoV-2 IgG 抗体检测。我们还报告了秋季 2020 学期末收集的非随机学生队列的血清阳性率。在 1313 名社区参与者中,有 42 人(3.2%)在 2020 年 8 月 7 日至 10 月 2 日期间首次就诊时 SARS-CoV-2 IgG 抗体呈阳性。在返回校园参加秋季教学的 684 名学生中,有 208 人(30.4%)在 2020 年 10 月 26 日至 12 月 21 日期间 SARS-CoV-2 抗体呈阳性。截至 2 月 19 日,有 96 名(7.3%)社区参与者的 IgG 抗体检测结果呈阳性。只有与已知的 SARS-CoV-2 阳性个体接触和参加人数在 20-50 人的小型聚会是检测返校学生 IgG 抗体的显著预测因素(优势比,95%置信区间 3.1,2.07-4.64;1.52,1.03-2.24)。尽管在学生群体中观察到高血清阳性率,但在秋季 2020 学期学生到达之前和之后,社区居民的纵向队列中血清阳性率较低且稳定。该研究表明,在地理位置上一致的人群中可能会发生 SARS-CoV-2 传播的异质性。