Xu Huaiyue, Wang Qing, Zhu Huanhuan, Zhang Yayi, Ma Runmei, Ban Jie, Liu Yiting, Chen Chen, Li Tiantian
Department of Environmental Health Risk Assessment, China CDC Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health, National Institute of Environmental Health, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100021, China.
School of Geomatics and Marine Information, Jiangsu Ocean University, Lianyungang, Jiangsu 222005, China.
Chin Med J (Engl). 2024 Nov 20;137(22):2726-2733. doi: 10.1097/CM9.0000000000002974. Epub 2024 Jan 18.
Substantial progress in air pollution control has brought considerable health benefits in China, but little is known about the spatio-temporal trends of economic burden from air pollution. This study aimed to explore their spatio-temporal features of disease burden from air pollution in China to provide policy recommendations for efficiently reducing the air pollution and related disease burden in an era of a growing economy.
Using the Global Burden of Disease method and willingness to pay method, we estimated fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ) and/or ozone (O 3 ) related premature mortality and its economic burden across China, and explored their spatio-temporal trends between 2005 and 2017.
In 2017, we estimated that the premature mortality and economic burden related to the two pollutants were RMB 0.94 million (68.49 per 100,000) and 1170.31 billion yuan (1.41% of the national gross domestic product [GDP]), respectively. From 2005 to 2017, the total premature mortality was decreasing with the air quality improvement, but the economic burden was increasing along with the economic growth. And the economic growth has contributed more to the growth of economic costs than the economic burden decrease brought by the air quality improvement. The premature mortality and economic burden from O 3 in the total loss from the two pollutants was substantially lower than that of PM 2.5 , but it was rapidly growing. The O 3 -contribution was highest in the Yangtze River Delta region, the Fen-Wei Plain region, and some western regions. The proportion of economic burden from PM 2.5 and O 3 to GDP significantly declined from 2005 to 2017 and showed a decreasing trend pattern from northeast to southwest.
The disease burden from O 3 is lower than that of PM 2.5 , the O 3 -contribution has a significantly increasing trend with the growth of economy and O 3 concentration.
中国在空气污染控制方面取得了重大进展,给健康带来了可观的益处,但关于空气污染经济负担的时空趋势却知之甚少。本研究旨在探讨中国空气污染疾病负担的时空特征,为在经济增长时期有效降低空气污染及相关疾病负担提供政策建议。
我们采用全球疾病负担方法和支付意愿法,估算了中国各地细颗粒物(PM2.5)和/或臭氧(O3)相关的过早死亡率及其经济负担,并探讨了2005年至2017年期间它们的时空趋势。
2017年,我们估计与这两种污染物相关的过早死亡率和经济负担分别为94万元(每10万人中68.49人)和11703.1亿元(占国内生产总值[GDP]的1.41%)。从2005年到2017年,随着空气质量改善,过早死亡总数呈下降趋势,但经济负担却随着经济增长而增加。而且经济增长对经济成本增长的贡献大于空气质量改善带来的经济负担减轻。两种污染物造成的总损失中,O3导致的过早死亡率和经济负担显著低于PM2.5,但呈快速增长趋势。O3的贡献率在长江三角洲地区、汾渭平原地区和一些西部地区最高。从2005年到2017年,PM2.5和O3造成的经济负担占GDP的比例显著下降,并呈现出从东北向西南递减的趋势模式。
O3造成的疾病负担低于PM2.5,随着经济增长和O3浓度升高,O3的贡献率呈显著上升趋势。