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崩溃、社会 tipping 动态与气候变化的框架构建

Collapse, social tipping dynamics, and framing climate change.

作者信息

Steel Daniel, Mintz-Woo Kian, DesRoches C Tyler

机构信息

University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.

University College Cork, Cork, Ireland.

出版信息

Polit Philos Econ. 2024 Aug;23(3):230-251. doi: 10.1177/1470594X231196432. Epub 2023 Aug 21.

Abstract

In this article, we claim that recent developments in climate science and renewable energy should prompt a reframing of debates surrounding climate change mitigation. Taken together, we argue that these developments suggest (1) global climate collapse in this century is a non-negligible risk, (2) mitigation offers substantial benefits to current generations, and (3) mitigation by some can generate social tipping dynamics that could ultimately make renewables cheaper than fossil fuels. We explain how these claims undermine familiar framings of climate change, wherein mitigation is understood as self-sacrifice that individuals and governments must be morally persuaded or incentivized to undertake.

摘要

在本文中,我们认为气候科学和可再生能源领域的最新进展应促使人们重新审视围绕减缓气候变化的辩论。我们认为,综合来看,这些进展表明:(1)本世纪全球气候崩溃是一个不可忽视的风险;(2)减缓气候变化能为当代人带来巨大利益;(3)部分国家采取减缓行动可能会引发社会 tipping 动态,最终使可再生能源比化石燃料更便宜。我们解释了这些观点如何颠覆了人们对气候变化的常见认知,在这种认知中,减缓气候变化被视为一种自我牺牲,个人和政府必须在道德上被说服或受到激励才会采取行动。 (注:原文中“social tipping dynamics”直译为“社会 tipping 动态”,“tipping”此处含义不太明确,可能需结合更多背景知识准确理解。)

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