IRMES (bioMedical Research Institute of Sports Epidemiology), INSEP, Paris, France.
PLoS One. 2012;7(5):e37407. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0037407. Epub 2012 May 23.
The objectives of this study were to describe the distribution of all runners' performances in the largest marathons worldwide and to determine which environmental parameters have the maximal impact.
We analysed the results of six European (Paris, London, Berlin) and American (Boston, Chicago, New York) marathon races from 2001 to 2010 through 1,791,972 participants' performances (all finishers per year and race). Four environmental factors were gathered for each of the 60 races: temperature (°C), humidity (%), dew point (°C), and the atmospheric pressure at sea level (hPA); as well as the concentrations of four atmospheric pollutants: NO(2)-SO(2)-O(3) and PM(10) (μg x m(-3)).
All performances per year and race are normally distributed with distribution parameters (mean and standard deviation) that differ according to environmental factors. Air temperature and performance are significantly correlated through a quadratic model. The optimal temperatures for maximal mean speed of all runners vary depending on the performance level. When temperature increases above these optima, running speed decreases and withdrawal rates increase. Ozone also impacts performance but its effect might be linked to temperature. The other environmental parameters do not have any significant impact.
The large amount of data analyzed and the model developed in this study highlight the major influence of air temperature above all other climatic parameter on human running capacity and adaptation to race conditions.
本研究旨在描述全球最大马拉松比赛中所有参赛者的成绩分布情况,并确定哪些环境参数具有最大影响。
我们通过分析 2001 年至 2010 年间六个欧洲(巴黎、伦敦、柏林)和美国(波士顿、芝加哥、纽约)马拉松比赛的结果,共涉及 1791972 名参赛者的成绩(每年和每场比赛的所有完赛者)。对于 60 场比赛中的每一场,我们收集了四个环境因素:温度(℃)、湿度(%)、露点(℃)和海平面气压(hPA);以及四种大气污染物的浓度:NO2-SO2-O3和 PM10(μg x m-3)。
每年和每场比赛的所有成绩均呈正态分布,分布参数(均值和标准差)因环境因素而异。空气温度和成绩呈显著的二次模型相关。所有跑步者的最大平均速度的最佳温度因成绩水平而异。当温度超过这些最佳温度时,跑步速度下降,退出率上升。臭氧也会影响成绩,但它的影响可能与温度有关。其他环境参数没有任何显著影响。
本研究分析的大量数据和建立的模型突出表明,空气温度对人体跑步能力和适应比赛条件的影响远远超过其他所有气候参数。