Ginsberg G M, Silverberg D S
Department of Data Analysis, Ministry of Health, Jerusalem, Israel.
Am J Public Health. 1994 Apr;84(4):653-6. doi: 10.2105/ajph.84.4.653.
Legislation requiring bicyclists to wear helmets in Israel will, over a helmet's 5-year duration (assuming 85% compliancy, 83.2% helmet efficiency for morbidity, and 70% helmet efficiency for mortality), save approximately 57 lives and result in approximately 2544 fewer hospitalizations; 13,355 and 26,634 fewer emergency room and ambulatory visits, respectively; and 832 and 115 fewer short-term and long-term rehabilitation cases, respectively. Total benefits ($60.7 million) from reductions in health service use ($44.2 million), work absences ($7.5 million), and mortality ($8.9 million) would exceed program costs ($20.1 million), resulting in a benefit-cost ratio of 3.01:1.
以色列要求骑自行车者佩戴头盔的立法规定，在头盔5年的使用期限内（假设合规率为85%，头盔预防发病的效率为83.2%，预防死亡的效率为70%），将挽救约57条生命，减少约2544例住院治疗；分别减少13355次和26634次急诊室就诊和门诊就诊；分别减少832例和115例短期和长期康复病例。因减少医疗服务使用（4420万美元）、误工（750万美元）和死亡（890万美元）而产生的总效益（6070万美元）将超过项目成本（2010万美元），效益成本比为3.01:1。
