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COVID-19 流行病学:临床特征、危险因素和结局的系统评价和荟萃分析。

Epidemiology of COVID-19: A systematic review and meta-analysis of clinical characteristics, risk factors, and outcomes.

机构信息

Department of Infectious Disease, Shandong Provincial Hospital affiliated to Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong, China.

Department of Infectious Disease, Cheeloo College of Medicine, Shandong Provincial Hospital, Shandong University, Jinan, Shandong, China.

出版信息

J Med Virol. 2021 Mar;93(3):1449-1458. doi: 10.1002/jmv.26424. Epub 2020 Aug 25.

Abstract

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a pandemic, but its reported characteristics and outcomes vary greatly amongst studies. We determined pooled estimates for clinical characteristics and outcomes in COVID-19 patients including subgroups by disease severity (based on World Health Organization Interim Guidance Report or Infectious Disease Society of America/American Thoracic Society criteria) and by country/region. We searched Pubmed, Embase, Scopus, Cochrane, Chinese Medical Journal, and preprint databases from 1 January 2020 to 6 April 2020. Studies of laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 patients with relevant data were included. Two reviewers independently performed study selection and data extraction. From 6007 articles, 212 studies from 11 countries/regions involving 281 461 individuals were analyzed. Overall, mean age was 46.7 years, 51.8% were male, 22.9% had severe disease, and mortality was 5.6%. Underlying immunosuppression, diabetes, and malignancy were most strongly associated with severe COVID-19 (coefficient =  53.9, 23.4, 23.4, respectively, all P < .0007), while older age, male gender, diabetes, and hypertension were also associated with higher mortality (coefficient = 0.05 per year, 5.1, 8.2, 6.99, respectively; P = .006-.0002). Gastrointestinal (nausea, vomiting, abdominal pain) and respiratory symptoms (shortness of breath, chest pain) were associated with severe COVID-19, while pneumonia and end-organ failure were associated with mortality. COVID-19 is associated with a severe disease course in about 23% and mortality in about 6% of infected persons. Individuals with comorbidities and clinical features associated with severity should be monitored closely, and preventive efforts should especially target those with diabetes, malignancy, and immunosuppression.

摘要

2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)已成为一种大流行病,但不同研究对其报道的特征和结果差异很大。我们确定了 COVID-19 患者的临床特征和结局的汇总估计值,包括按疾病严重程度(基于世界卫生组织临时指导报告或传染病学会/美国胸科学会标准)和国家/地区分组的亚组。我们从 2020 年 1 月 1 日至 2020 年 4 月 6 日在 Pubmed、Embase、Scopus、Cochrane、中华医学杂志和预印本数据库中进行了检索。纳入了有相关数据的实验室确诊 COVID-19 患者的研究。两名审查员独立进行了研究选择和数据提取。从 6007 篇文章中,分析了来自 11 个国家/地区的 212 项研究,涉及 281461 人。总体而言,平均年龄为 46.7 岁,51.8%为男性,22.9%为重症,死亡率为 5.6%。基础免疫抑制、糖尿病和恶性肿瘤与重症 COVID-19 最密切相关(系数分别为 53.9、23.4 和 23.4,均 P<0.0007),而年龄较大、男性、糖尿病和高血压也与死亡率升高相关(系数分别为每年 0.05、5.1、8.2 和 6.99,P=0.006-0.0002)。胃肠道(恶心、呕吐、腹痛)和呼吸道症状(呼吸急促、胸痛)与重症 COVID-19 相关,而肺炎和终末器官衰竭与死亡率相关。约 23%的感染者病情严重,约 6%的感染者死亡。患有合并症和与严重程度相关的临床特征的个体应密切监测,预防工作应特别针对糖尿病、恶性肿瘤和免疫抑制患者。

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