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中国四川省 67 起本地 COVID-19 聚集性疫情的流行病学分析。

Epidemiological analysis of 67 local COVID-19 clusters in Sichuan Province, China.

机构信息

Sichuan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, No. 6 Zhongxue Road, Wuhou District, Chengdu, 610,041, Sichuan, China.

Jianyang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2020 Oct 8;20(1):1525. doi: 10.1186/s12889-020-09606-4.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

This study was intended to investigate the epidemiological characteristics of COVID-19 clusters and the severity distribution of clinical symptoms of involved cases in Sichuan Province, so as to provide information support for the development and adjustment of strategies for the prevention and control of local clusters.

METHODS

The epidemiological characteristics of 67 local clusters of COVID-19 cases in Sichuan Province reported as of March 17, 2020 were described and analyzed. Information about all COVID-19 clusters and involved cases was acquired from the China Information System for Disease Control and Prevention and analyzed with the epidemiological investigation results taken into account.

RESULTS

The clusters were temporally and regionally concentrated. Clusters caused by imported cases from other provinces accounted for 73.13%; familial clusters accounted for 68.66%; the average attack rate was 8.54%, and the average secondary attack rate was 6.11%; the median incubation period was 8.5 d; a total of 28 cases met the criteria for incubation period determination, and in the 28 cases, the incubation period was > 14 d in 21.43% (6/28). a total of 226 confirmed cases were reported in the 67 clusters. Ten cases were exposed before the confirmed cases they contacted with developed clinical symptoms, and the possibility of exposure to other infection sources was ruled out; two clusters were caused by asymptomatic carriers; confirmed cases mainly presented with fever, respiratory and systemic symptoms; a gradual decline in the severity of clinical symptoms was noted with the increase of the case generation.

CONCLUSIONS

Population movement and gathering restrictions and strict close contact management measures will significantly contribute to the identification and control of cases. Transmission during the incubation period and asymptomatic infections have been noted. Studies on the pathogenicity and transmissibility in these populations and on COVID-19 antibody levels and protective effects in healthy people and cases are required.

摘要

背景

本研究旨在分析四川省 COVID-19 聚集性疫情的流行病学特征及临床症状涉及病例的严重程度分布,为当地聚集性疫情的防控策略制定和调整提供信息支持。

方法

描述和分析截至 2020 年 3 月 17 日四川省报告的 67 起 COVID-19 本地聚集性疫情的流行病学特征。通过中国疾病预防控制信息系统获取所有 COVID-19 聚集性疫情和涉及病例的信息,并结合现场流行病学调查结果进行分析。

结果

聚集性疫情具有时间和地区集中的特征。由其他省份输入病例引起的聚集性疫情占 73.13%;家庭聚集性疫情占 68.66%;平均潜伏期为 8.5 d;平均二代发病率为 6.11%;共有 28 例符合潜伏期判定标准,28 例中潜伏期>14 d 的占 21.43%(28/132)。67 起聚集性疫情共报告 226 例确诊病例。10 例在与确诊病例接触前发病,排除接触其他感染源的可能;2 起聚集性疫情由无症状感染者引起;确诊病例主要表现为发热、呼吸道和全身症状;随着病例的产生,临床症状严重程度呈逐渐下降趋势。

结论

人群流动和聚集限制以及严格的密切接触者管理措施将显著有助于识别和控制病例。潜伏期和无症状感染的传播已被发现。需要研究这些人群中的致病性和传染性,以及健康人群和病例的 COVID-19 抗体水平和保护作用。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/36ca/7545861/4ff3693fefdb/12889_2020_9606_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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