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COVID-19 大流行的历史:起源、爆发、全球传播。

History of the COVID-19 pandemic: Origin, explosion, worldwide spreading.

机构信息

Department of Biotechnology, College of Life Sciences, Jianghan University, Wuhan, China; China Biodiversity Conservation and Green Development Foundation, Beijing, China.

China Biodiversity Conservation and Green Development Foundation, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Biochem Biophys Res Commun. 2021 Jan 29;538:14-23. doi: 10.1016/j.bbrc.2020.10.087. Epub 2020 Nov 6.

Abstract

The SARS-CoV-2 virus of the COVID-19 pandemic, that is presently devastating the entire world, had been active well before January of this year, when its pathogenic potential exploded full force in Wuhan. It had caused the onset of small disease outbreaks in China, and probably elsewhere as well, which failed to reach epidemic potential. The distant general origin of its zoonosis can be traced back to the ecosystem changes that have decreased biodiversity, greatly facilitating the contacts between humans and the animal reservoirs that carry pathogens, including SARS-CoV-2. These reservoirs are the bats. The transition between the limited outbreaks that had occurred through 2019 and the epidemic explosion of December-January was made possible by the great amplification of the general negative conditions that had caused the preceding small outbreaks. In the light of what we have now learned, the explosion was predictable, and could have happened wherever the conditions that had allowed it, could be duplicated. What could not have been predicted was the second transition, from epidemic to pandemic. Research has now revealed that the globalization of the infection appears to have been caused by a mutation in the spike protein of the SARS-CoV-2, that has dramatically increased its transmissibility.

摘要

导致 COVID-19 大流行的 SARS-CoV-2 病毒早在今年 1 月武汉出现其强致病性前就已活跃,当时其强致病性全面爆发。该病毒已在中国造成小规模疾病暴发,可能在其他地方也有,但未达到流行程度。其人畜共患病的遥远一般起源可以追溯到减少生物多样性的生态系统变化,这极大地促进了人类与携带病原体的动物宿主(包括 SARS-CoV-2)之间的接触。这些宿主是蝙蝠。2019 年之前发生的有限爆发与 12 月至 1 月的流行爆发之间的转变是通过导致先前小规模爆发的普遍负面条件的极大放大而实现的。根据我们目前所了解的情况,这种爆发是可以预测的,并且可能在任何能够复制引发它的条件的地方发生。无法预测的是从流行到大流行的第二次转变。研究表明,感染的全球化似乎是由 SARS-CoV-2 刺突蛋白的突变引起的,该突变极大地增加了其传染性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/20fc/7834510/ffc365860c23/gr1_lrg.jpg

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