Sahoo Prasanta, Mondal Himadri S, Hammouch Zakia, Abdeljawad Thabet, Mishra Dwaipayan, Reza Motahar
Department of Mathematics, Midnapore College (Autonomous), Midnapore 721 101, West Bengal, India.
Division of Applied Mathematics, Thu Dau Mot University, Binh Duong Province, Viet Nam.
Results Phys. 2021 Jun;25:104063. doi: 10.1016/j.rinp.2021.104063. Epub 2021 Apr 13.
Presently the world is passing through a critical phase due to the prevalence of the Novel Corona virus, 2019-nCoV or COVID-19, which has been declared a pandemic by WHO. The virus transmits via droplets of saliva or discharge from the nose when an infected person coughs or sneezes. Due to the absence of vaccine, to prevent the disease, social distancing and proper quarantine of infected populations are needed. Non-resident citizens coming from several countries need to be quarantined for 14 days prior to their entrance. The same is to be applied for inter-state movements within a country. The purpose of this article is to propose mathematical models, based on quarantine with no lock down, that describe the dynamics of transmission and spread of the disease thereby proposing an effective preventive measure in the absence of vaccine.
目前,由于新型冠状病毒2019-nCoV(即COVID-19)的流行,世界正经历一个关键阶段,该病毒已被世界卫生组织宣布为大流行病。当感染者咳嗽或打喷嚏时,病毒通过唾液飞沫或鼻腔分泌物传播。由于没有疫苗,为预防该疾病,需要保持社交距离并对感染人群进行适当隔离。来自多个国家的非居民公民在入境前需要隔离14天。这同样适用于一个国家内的跨州流动。本文的目的是提出基于不封锁的隔离措施的数学模型,描述该疾病的传播动态,从而在没有疫苗的情况下提出有效的预防措施。